Heavier bullets shoot better in fast twist guns than lighter bullets do. That is something I've seen with my own eyes enough to be pretty positive about saying. As for the second half of that point, I admitted that it was a WAG, and haven't done any testing on it. If I'm not sure of something, I say so. Granted, "over-stabilized" may be a poor word choice, but "sub-optimal twist to achieve the desired gyroscopic stability for maximum performance" is a little long.
I base that WAG on occasions where a gun will shoot better at longer ranges, 1moa at 100 and 3/4moa at 200 as one example I've witnessed. Due to slight misalignments that can happen between a bullet and the bore, it takes a certain amount of time for a bullet to achieve rotational stability (the dreaded "bullet going to 'sleep'" phenomenon to use another questionable theory

). If a bullet is spun faster than it optimally needs to achieve that stability, it takes longer to stabilize. It can happen especially with lighter (shorter) bullets in guns set up for heavier pills (longer throats or more freebore), since the extra length of the throat allows more chance for the short bullet to get a little sideways. This one reason why match ammo is typically loaded just off the lands, to decrease the potential for misalignment.
Are there other factors that may contribute to, or cause, weird shit like that to happen? Absolutely. Hopefully I'll get a chance to do some legitimate testing in the future to get some hard data on it.
I may be wrong, like I said, it's a WAG, but there is some logic behind the guess, not voodoo.
As for the other, meh, shit happens, and is outside the purview of this discussion. I threw it out strictly as one possible rationale.